Wednesday, December 8, 2010

The Drake Equation

Problem: To estimate the number of existing extraterrestrial civilizations in the Milky Way.
Hypothesis: I have a hard time believing there to be life outside of our own planet though I do think it is fairly possible so I expected the number to be at least one.
Procedure: We estimated the values of different variables in the given Drake Equation and solved the equation using our estimated values.
Data and Calculations: Are on the hard copy of the lab that will be turned in on the day of the exam.
Conclusions: Of course what we figured out to be the number of extraterrestrial civilizations is entirely estimated but the value was a great deal less than what I originally thought it would be around. Error lies in our belief in the odds which is why our value compared to the value of another group is going to be very different. I have a hard time agreeing with the probability of our answer as it is 1 which does not make sense because including Earth, the value should be 1. Reflecting on the actual value of the Drake Equation I also find it hard to believe that there are sixty other intelligent civilizations that are able to communicate. I guess I do not really know what I believe to be the value but I do know that finding out whether or not others exist does not seem like it is worth the money to me.

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